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:: Risk Neutrality - Alternative Derivation of the Black-Scholes
Equation ::
When asked to derive the Black-Scholes equation, one immediately begins
to construct a portfolio of an option sort some
units of assets and perform on which you perform a delta hedge as originally
proposed by Fischer Black and Myron Scholes. This is the the
simplest way to go about it. There is, however, an alternative
risk neutrality argument to deriving the Black-Scholes equation that was
put forward by Cox and Ross in 1976 which does not involve
delta hedging. Here we shall explore exactly this argument
and make a direct comparison to the delta-hedging technique.
The concept of risk neutrality is one associated with an investment that
has zero risk to asset price movement which must therefore, due to arbitrage
consideration, earn the same rate as the risk free return (e.g. a bond).
The pricing dynamics of the underlying asset can be described by a geometric
random walk of the form
![[Graphics:Images/riskneutrality_gr_2.gif]](Images/riskneutrality_gr_2.gif)
Further to this, we know that our call option C satisfies Ito's lemma
![[Graphics:Images/riskneutrality_gr_3.gif]](Images/riskneutrality_gr_3.gif)
and we wish to express this in terms of a geometric random walk for the
option as
![[Graphics:Images/riskneutrality_gr_4.gif]](Images/riskneutrality_gr_4.gif)
where
are the means and standard deviations of the call option respectively. Therefore,
![[Graphics:Images/riskneutrality_gr_7.gif]](Images/riskneutrality_gr_7.gif)
and
![[Graphics:Images/riskneutrality_gr_8.gif]](Images/riskneutrality_gr_8.gif)
in order to satisfy this requirement. Rearranging our expression
for
gives us
![[Graphics:Images/riskneutrality_gr_10.gif]](Images/riskneutrality_gr_10.gif)
This resembles precisely the Black-Scholes equation if we let
. In
many literature you will find something along the lines of "...we
replace
by r to take a risk neutral preference". This is not as
straight forward as it is made to sound, infact, the process of assuming
the growth parameters to be equivalent to a risk free investment is a
subtle point and needs to be further expanded upon.
You can construct a portfolio consisting of options and assets that is
instantaneously riskless by holding units
of asset and short selling
units of option with a value
![[Graphics:Images/riskneutrality_gr_15.gif]](Images/riskneutrality_gr_15.gif)
[Notice that this is different to delta hedging when one owns an option
short
units of asset.]
is now written as a function of 4 variables, 3 stochastic and
time t. Therefore, .
To differentiate this we require Ito's Lemma for many variables. All
cross terms in involving 't' vanish to slightly simplify matters, and
we expand only to the second order for all other variables except t. Therefore,
![[Graphics:Images/riskneutrality_gr_20.gif]](Images/riskneutrality_gr_20.gif)
After some very lengthy and tedious algebra this reduces to the much
shorter expression
![[Graphics:Images/riskneutrality_gr_21.gif]](Images/riskneutrality_gr_21.gif)
From simple arbitrage consideration this must earn the same as a riskless
interest rate
since the structure of the portfolio is such that the risk is eliminated. Using
this and our expressions above we arrive at the expression
![[Graphics:Images/riskneutrality_gr_23.gif]](Images/riskneutrality_gr_23.gif)
Alternatively written as
![[Graphics:Images/riskneutrality_gr_24.gif]](Images/riskneutrality_gr_24.gif)
The interpreting of this equation has a great financial significance. It
says that the ratio extra rate return over a risk free investment of option
and asset with their respective volatilities is fixed. This
ratio is often termed the market price of risk which has already
been mentioned in the article 'Log-Normality & Finance'. Here
we have shown that an option and the underlying asset have the same ratio
within a risk neutral world framework. From this equation
we can interpret what we already know - the bigger the returns the greater
the risk.
By using the expression of market price of risk and substituting it into
our expression for
and
above we recover the Black-Scholes equation
![[Graphics:Images/riskneutrality_gr_27.gif]](Images/riskneutrality_gr_27.gif)
So we have not simply taken equation above with ,
but done something more subtle This choice means that this
ratio of market price of risk can be satisfied for any set of values for
and . This
is what makes the Black-Scholes model attractive. Furthermore,
it sets a simple yet well defined 'universal standard' as desired like
in any field. By letting
is different to saying that in reality no investment can grow faster than
the rate r, but simply to set a fair price for our derivative we must
let the two be equivalent.
Here we have derived the Black-Scholes equation without performing a
delta hedge as is most often presented in common literature. Delta-hedging
is a more refined and sophisticated extension to the risk neutrality argument,
yet has the simplicity of creating a portfolio with just long and option
and short some divisible unit of assets which makes it so attractive for
practical application (also having also two less parameter to worry about).
One has to ask themselves where would the derivatives market be today
if there was not some widely agreed model to go by? Afterall,
alternative derivative pricing methods did exist pre-Black-Scholes.
Written by Alessio Farhadi. Vote of thanks to Myron Scholes.
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